How often does the top-priced bracket win at each hour — and at what price?
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EDGE SUMMARY — ALL SERIES
Edge = how often the leading bracket at each hour wins vs. what it was historically priced at that hour. Click any row to see the full hour-by-hour breakdown.
How to read this: Each row is one hour of the day. Win Rate = how often the leading bracket at that hour turned out to be the winner. Avg Price = what that bracket was historically trading at. Edge = Win Rate − Avg Price. Green = you have an edge betting at that hour. Red = market is overpriced.
HOUR-BY-HOUR EDGE BREAKDOWN
Leading bracket win rate vs. historical price at each hour. Prior-day hours labeled −1.
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Total Snapshots Logged
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Rows in D1 snapshots table
Series Tracked
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City/type combinations
Last Snapshot
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Most recent D1 write
Cron Schedule
Every 15 min
All day · ~96×/day · */15 * * * *
TRACKED SERIES
All city/type series found and logged — sorted by volume
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MARKET ANALYSIS
Liquidity and tradability assessment based on current snapshot data
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RESULTS BY DATE
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Total Bets
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individual fills
Total Spent
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cost basis
Total Returned
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settled winnings
Net P&L
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returned − spent
Return %
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on settled bets
Win Rate
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settled bets only
Open Bets
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pending settlement
ALL FILLS
Each individual fill from Kalshi. One fill = one matched trade.
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P&L BY TICKER
Aggregated by series ticker. Shows your strategy performance per city/type.
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P&L BY TICKER / DATE
One row per city + date. See how each day's bets on each market performed.
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Select a city to view NWS forecast accuracy
FORECAST ACCURACY BY HOUR OFFSET
How often the NWS hourly forecast high/low fell in the bracket that actually won. Hour offset = hours before market close.
RAW FORECAST LOG
Each hourly snapshot logged by the cron job
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How to read this: Rank 1 = coldest bracket, Rank 6 = hottest. Click + to expand day-by-day detail inline.
BRACKET RANK WIN DISTRIBUTION
How often each temperature rank position wins over 65 days. Click + to expand.